[Week 11] Simulation Evaluation

Posted

War Games WORP

Historic

week Winner Accuracy
11 60%
10 40%
9 20%
8 60%
7 20%
6 100%
5 80%
4 60%
3 80%
2 60%
1 80%

Matchups Winner Predictions

game prediction win.prob who.won
Paulinia Robots @ Indaiatuba Riders Paulinia Robots 67.9% Paulinia Robots
Amparo Bikers @ Sorocaba Wild Mules Amparo Bikers 64.4% Sorocaba Wild Mules
Sorocaba Steelers @ Campinas Giants Campinas Giants 67% Campinas Giants
Rio Claro Pfeiferians @ Indaiatuba Blues Rio Claro Pfeiferians 72% Rio Claro Pfeiferians
London Knights @ Jersey Boys London Knights 57.7% Jersey Boys

Score Prediction Chart

Score Prediction Table

team real.points pred.min pred.points pred.max
Rio Claro Pfeiferians 147.68 98.79 130.52 167.99
Indaiatuba Blues 120.26 78.54 113.23 154.49
Sorocaba Wild Mules 119.90 83.71 120.64 161.19
Campinas Giants 113.06 102.06 141.30 184.58
Jersey Boys 112.34 85.61 120.42 159.51
Paulinia Robots 109.88 105.68 134.64 165.23
Sorocaba Steelers 108.32 97.47 127.41 160.53
Indaiatuba Riders 97.22 83.66 121.53 157.96
London Knights 96.90 88.24 127.65 169.82
Amparo Bikers 82.66 98.77 132.05 167.98

Players Points vs Projection

Projection Error Distribution

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