[Week 12] Simulation Evaluation

Posted

War Games Norad

Historic

week Winner Accuracy
12 40%
11 60%
10 40%
9 20%
8 60%
7 20%
6 100%
5 80%
4 60%
3 80%
2 60%
1 80%

Matchups Winner Predictions

game prediction win.prob who.won
Amparo Bikers @ Paulinia Robots Paulinia Robots 61.4% Paulinia Robots
Indaiatuba Riders @ Sorocaba Steelers Indaiatuba Riders 50.8% Sorocaba Steelers
Sorocaba Wild Mules @ Rio Claro Pfeiferians Rio Claro Pfeiferians 53.6% Sorocaba Wild Mules
Campinas Giants @ London Knights Campinas Giants 80.4% Campinas Giants
Indaiatuba Blues @ Jersey Boys Jersey Boys 78.8% Indaiatuba Blues

Score Prediction Chart

Score Prediction Table

team real.points pred.min pred.points pred.max
Sorocaba Steelers 152.82 86.79 115.28 146.71
Paulinia Robots 146.08 101.01 128.18 157.58
Campinas Giants 143.82 105.11 149.06 194.51
London Knights 123.18 79.83 118.05 158.29
Amparo Bikers 120.14 84.43 119.58 157.66
Sorocaba Wild Mules 119.26 91.55 127.37 170.02
Indaiatuba Riders 108.34 78.66 115.30 151.49
Rio Claro Pfeiferians 90.66 95.84 129.63 170.23
Indaiatuba Blues 88.20 71.90 104.76 143.16
Jersey Boys 78.42 89.13 134.14 183.35

Players Points vs Projection

Projection Error Distribution

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