[Week 14] Simulation Evaluation

Posted

War Games Wopr

Historic

week Winner Accuracy
14 60%
13 80%
12 40%
11 60%
10 40%
9 20%
8 60%
7 20%
6 100%
5 80%
4 60%
3 80%
2 60%
1 80%

Matchups Winner Predictions

game prediction win.prob who.won
Rio Claro Pfeiferians @ Paulinia Robots Paulinia Robots 57.5% Paulinia Robots
Sorocaba Steelers @ London Knights London Knights 65.7% Sorocaba Steelers
Amparo Bikers @ Jersey Boys Amparo Bikers 55.2% Jersey Boys
Indaiatuba Riders @ Indaiatuba Blues Indaiatuba Blues 72.9% Indaiatuba Riders
Sorocaba Wild Mules @ Campinas Giants Campinas Giants 66.7% Campinas Giants

Score Prediction Chart

Score Prediction Table

team real.points pred.min pred.points pred.max
Sorocaba Steelers 164.54 87.18 115.79 148.22
Paulinia Robots 150.60 101.57 136.50 172.32
London Knights 131.58 90.38 128.12 170.71
Jersey Boys 129.36 93.80 127.31 168.95
Amparo Bikers 121.38 100.01 131.57 166.29
Campinas Giants 115.18 102.95 143.31 185.06
Rio Claro Pfeiferians 110.80 94.30 129.45 174.56
Indaiatuba Riders 99.86 71.49 104.34 139.45
Sorocaba Wild Mules 99.50 89.10 126.60 173.61
Indaiatuba Blues 97.80 85.98 122.59 165.78

Players Points vs Projection

Projection Error Distribution

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